The Friday Rant: Much Ado About (Almost) Nothing

Toronto Politics

6 minute read

May 5, 2023

Who doesn’t love a good Friday rant, right?

Well, about thirty percent of readers, it would seem.

Last Friday’s blog post was about this progressive idea hatched in The Netherlands that would see rents tied to income, and I went off on a few wicked tangents, as I always do.

The readers responded in kind.  I saw some love and some hate, and the latter don’t mind calling me by name, which is totally fair.

FYI – I don’t live in Rosedale.  I don’t know where that came from.

But I do eat puppies.  That one’s true.

For the record, I enjoy when people call me out.  Not only does it hold me accountable and provide some opposing views for the other readers to consider, but once in a while, it makes me think.  For the most part, I would still disagree with thoughts to the contrary, but every so often, somebody voices an opinion that disagrees with mine, and I think, “Huh.  That’s true…”

The comments section on last Friday’s blog delved into topics which I, myself, didn’t wade into in the blog post itself.  But I feel as though some readers belive they know me well enough to fill in the blanks for me.  Fair or not, it spurs conversation.

Today’s blog isn’t a follow-up per se, nor is it meant to piggyback on the emotions expressed last week, but rather it’s an extremely necessary post, given the news that came out last week.

What news?

Oh, geez.

The “inevitable” news.

The news that we all saw coming.

The news that we fully expected, months and months ago, as our esteemed city council patted themselves on the back for passing confusing, costly, and ill-fated legislation that had more to do with virtue signaling than it did with actual housing affordability.

What news is that?

The vacant home tax is a complete flop.

From the Toronto Star:

“Just 2,100 Properties Reported Empty Through Toronto’s New Vacant Home Tax”

I just threw up in my mouth a little bit.

As I wrote in the year-end blog in 2022, the one-time start-up cost for this tax was $11 Million and annual operating costs were estimated at $3.1 Million.

Estimated.

So once we triple the size of staff, give everybody a Montblanc pen for their ivory-inlaid desks, and provide them with an allowance for Red Bull as they work from home, I wonder how much the operating costs will actually be?

This tax has proved to be a fantastic failure, in a long line of fantastic financial failures from all three levels of government.

But who among us expected any different?

This idea that a vacant house tax would “ease home prices” is pandering to the moronic.

But people ate this up and then asked for seconds.

The perpetually frustrated are salivating at the idea of “making housing more affordable,” no matter how unrealistic the ideas have become.

According to THIS article, Toronto’s new vacant home tax was supposed to raise between $55 Million – $66 Million.

And according to THIS article, Vancouver’s vacant home tax has brought in only $32 Million since the implementation of the tax in 2017!

So how in the world were we going to see $66 Million?

It’s such a joke.

And yet, people are still hitching their wagon to it!

Mayoral hopeful, Olivia Chow, has stated that her affordable housing plan counts on upwards of $66 Million in vacant home tax “revenue.”

Uh-oh.  So when she wins, which she will, what’s she going to do?

Create another tax, surely.  Not cut spending.  The idea is preposterous.

This tax was never going to work.  The citizens revolted early and often.

As an example:

“Toronto Extends Vacant Home Tax Deadline, Over 10% Of Property Owners Are Non-Compliant”

Of course.

Back when my write-in candidate in the 2023 municipal election, John Tory, was in charge the city had no choice but to extend a deadline, which in itself is oxymoronic, to ensure enough property owners actually filled in their forms so the city didn’t look silly.

And to add insult to injury, as the Toronto Star article details what we (at least me…) knew was coming:

The city may end up challenging some owners it believes have not reported empty units, he said.

Of course they will.

Because this is about revenue-generation.  This is about being right.

Here’s a disgusting story for you; one which I heard yesterday and which was part of the reason for this blog.

A colleague of mine has a client who tragically lost his son last October.

The young man was young.  He was barely a man.  He died way too early and caused his parents to experience the one thing my own father tells me that a parent should never live to see: the death of a child.

The parents painfully went through the process; notifying friends and family, holding a funeral, applying for a death certificate, cleaning out their son’s condo, sorting through his will and the legalities and complications that stem from death, etc.

Twice, they sent the death certificate to the City of Toronto.

Twice, the City of Toronto lost it.

Last week, they send the parents a bill for over $10,000 because they deemed the property to be “vacant.”

I know, I know.  This is a one-off.  This is a hearsay, broken telephone story that some of you may choose to disregard.

But it happened.  It’s real.  And while it’s but one example of the incompetency and bureaucracy that exists at the municipal level, it underscores what this tax is really about.

It’s about money.

It’s about revenue generation.

This isn’t elected officials representing the population; serving interests, protecting rights, and advancing quality of life.

It’s about money.

And when it’s not about money, it’s about grandstanding.  It’s about showing people, “Hey, we’re here.  We’re working for you!  We’re going to make houses more affordable!  Look at the tax we just created!  That’s for you!”

We’re going to see countless examples of people getting screwed, or trying to be screwed, by this tax and those that hold the fountain pen at City Hall.

Here’s another one from CTV News:

“Toronto Man Who Didn’t Fill Out Vacancy Tax Form Told To Pay $17,000”

I don’t expect the naysayers to have any sympathy for the sickest, most evil, most hated members of our society today, ie. builders, but here’s a major problem on the precipice:

“Builders Seek Extension On Toronto’s New Vacant Home Tax”

Gosh, we have such a funny relationship with builders in this city.

People hate them.

They’re awful.

They only operate to (gulp!) make money, and they’re not helping the “problem” of housing affordability.

But the solution to our housing crisis (when it’s not taxation), is to build.

So who is going to build?

Um, builders?

Not the City of Toronto.  Not the Province of Ontario.

Builders.

But people hate builders.

And right now, the city of Toronto is arguing with builders about their “vacant units,” suggesting that builders should pay the tax on unsold inventory.  And who is going to provide the timeline in which the builders need to sell?

The City of Toronto, of course!

But these costs will simply be passed along to the consumers in the end, as they always are.

Just as some 25-35% of the overall cost of construction of a new unit of housing comes in the form of taxes from all three levels of government, and that is baked into the price of new construction, any additional fees, taxes, charges, or levies will be passed along as well.

The City of Toronto continues to take from Peter to pay Paul.

It’s never-ending.

But so long as the headlines in the newspapers (those that the masses read, ie. online clickbait run by 20-somethings, and not actual journalism like the National Post, Globe & Mail, et al), continue to hail the government for acting, then the population remains satisfied.

And don’t even get me started about the federal “Underused Housing Tax.”

Let me put on my tin-foil hat for this one, but I think this is just an opportunity for the federal government to collect information on the owners of Canadian corporations that they would not otherwise possess.

Bob Aaron wrote a great piece in the Toronto Star:

“Toronto Has Another Vacant Unit Tax And It’s Complicated Scary”

As Mr. Aaron notes:

To me, the scariest part of this tax is the penalty for failing to file the required nine-page tax return when it is due … even if the owners are exempt from paying tax.

Being exempt from paying a tax is not reason enough to not declare.

In this case, nine pages of declarations must be provided even by those who are completely, utterly exempt.

This all reeks of government that has no clue what they’re doing.

All three levels, by the way.  I’m not cherry-picking, although I do think some are more inept than others.

And it’s just never-ending.

Take this article, for example:

“Toronto’s Affordable Housing Plan Could Stall If Ontario Doesn’t Fill Gap Created By Bill 23”

Great headline, right?

But put on your thinking-cap, just for a moment.

The provincial government is trying to make housing development more attractive by eliminating some development charges for builders.

The muncipal govenrment wants to build affordable housing.

Those should, in theory, be mutually exclusive, right?

Only the City of Toronto has linked the two!

The City of Toronto is claiming that because of the shortfall in revenue, caused by Bill 23 which has removed $120 Million in revenue from the city’s bank account, that the city can no longer hit their goal of building affordable housing.

It’s incredible.

Incredible bullshit, but incredible nonetheless.

There are hundreds if not thousands of revenue streams flowing into city coffers.  All of those, collectively, make up the total amount of revenue that the city possesses, and the total amount of money that the city can spend.

But the city’s spin machine has chosen to link the shortfall in revenue from development charges to the revenues expended on affordable housing.

Of course, right?

What else could it be?

It’s not lost revenue elsewhere, nor is it expenditures in other places that’s reduced the city’s financial means.

It’s only because of the elimination of development charges.

Man oh man, is anybody else tired of all this?

Does anybody else feel like the students have taken over the school?

Happy Friday, folks.

Have a drink tonight, because you deserve it!

Written By David Fleming

David Fleming is the author of Toronto Realty Blog, founded in 2007. He combined his passion for writing and real estate to create a space for honest information and two-way communication in a complex and dynamic market. David is a licensed Broker and the Broker of Record for Bosley – Toronto Realty Group

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21 Comments

  1. TT

    at 7:52 am

    Nailed it as usual bud.

  2. Peter

    at 9:26 am

    The idea of the government investigating property owners to challenge the occupancy of a property scares the bejeezus out of me.

    I also question the cost of this but it sounds like I’m not the only one here?

  3. Ken Davenport

    at 10:42 am

    Expert Noah Sarna pointed out on Twitter the other day that around 25,000 property owners (or about 3%) haven’t been heard from. Based on Vancouver’s experience, about half of these homes might be vacant and taxable. When the audits are complete the total will rise further. Once everything is said and done, he figures the city may break-even.

    Normally I’d count such an outcome as an abysmal failure, at least if your plan was to make money. However I don’t think that’s the city’s real goal: it’s more about virtual signaling. Showy distractions such as this allow politicians to pretend they are doing something, while avoiding the hard decisions.

    There is some good news though. York Region has paused their vacancy tax for a year, while the Town of Blue Mountain has cancelled theirs. Its good to know that some people can still count. Not all is lost.

  4. Jennifer

    at 12:18 pm

    The goal of the vacant unit tax is not to make money. It is to incentivize people to not have VACANT units. The real question is how many properties became occupied as a result of the tax. That is what we should be looking at.

  5. Ace Goodheart

    at 1:34 pm

    Exactly.

    Hit the nail right on the head.

    Next thing they might want to look at is the origins of Toronto’s existing supply of social housing.

    Ie: where did these housing complexes and residences come from?
    Were any of them purpose built?

    Or are the majority of them conversions from private use to public housing?

    Ie: how much housing have governments actually built in the past?

    The answer is “almost nothiing”

    Most of the existing stock are conversions.

    And where is most new build social housing found?

    Answer: it is forced construction located in New build private housing. Developers are being forced to include it in their projects so as to get approval.

    The various levels of woke, socialist government do not actually build anything. At all.

    They do soend a lot of time taxing things.

    And when they travel, we’ll, it’s first class everything. Carbon footprints only matter to socialists when we are talking about other people’s carbon foot prints.

    But they do not, as a rule, actually build anything.

    They are currently actively opposing the Ford government for, wait for it, the crime of….building public transit.

    That’s right. The socialists want construction of Toronto’s largest New subway project ever, shut down.

    Because some trees got cut down or a park had to be moved…

    Is public transit bad? Apparently it is, if you actually build it.

    1. Vancouver Keith

      at 8:10 pm

      How much housing have governments actually built in the past? Until 1995, the federal government (CMHC) was building 25,000 units per year of non market co op housing. In the seventies, the local CMHC in Vancouver advertised in the newspaper that not all the available federal money for non market housing had been spent, and invited proposals.

      Imagine building 25,000 units of co op housing in Canada, adjusted upwards for population growth for 28 years and tell me that wouldn’t make any difference.

      1. Ace Goodheart

        at 8:28 am

        If they were still doing that, it would make a big difference.

        But they are not, anymore.

        What they did build is mostly condemned now or torn down due to age (in Toronto anyway).

        Most of the new social housing is in converted hotels.

        Totally agree. We urgently need more purpose built social housing.

        Maybe someone can tell Trudeau (when he gets back from wherever he is vacationing, and before he leaves again for somewhere else).

  6. Bryan

    at 2:59 pm

    It really amazes me how far politicians (of all stripes) are willing to go to avoid talking about the actual root cause of the housing crisis.

    Let’s analyze a popular hypothesis circa ~2016/2017 for illustrative purposes, shall we?: “The increase in housing prices (renting and buying) is being caused by a combination of foreign buyers, mom and pop investors who have access to cheap money through HELOCs, and professional investors who are leaving places unoccupied.”

    Well gee-wiz, since then we have banned foreign buyers, interest rates have skyrocketed on mom and pop’s HELOC, and Toronto has introduced this vacancy tax. House prices are way higher than 2016. Rent prices are way higher than 2016. Would a sane person not conclude that perhaps the issue has never been “XYZ group of people are buying up all the homes and screwing the rest of us”? We are chasing ghosts here, and all it is doing is costing money.

    The absolute bottom line is that the population of the GTA grows every year by more people than we build housing for. Build more homes, reduce population growth, or accept prices going up. Those are the only 3 options (plus their combinations I suppose).

    1. Steve

      at 3:59 pm

      Don’t forget it’s all Airbnb’s fault too, regulation of that hasn’t made a dent so some are calling for an outright ban. Can’t wait until that also has negligible impact.

    2. Ace Goodheart

      at 6:36 pm

      If I told you there were condos for sale, right now, in Toronto, walking distance to transit, two bed units, with parking, for under 300k, would you belive me?

      There is no housing crisis. There is a “I want to live in ________ (fill in the blank downtown prime neighbourhood” crisis.

      1. cyber

        at 7:20 pm

        Which areas? Unless this is an uninsurable building, old building with historical deferred maintenance & current super high maintenance fee (or special assessment coming up)… and even then…

        I applied your criteria on HouseSigma and nothing showed up, even the crime-infamous Lotherton Pathway condos that are plagued by all of the above are selling for more than $300k today.

        1. Ace Goodheart

          at 7:34 pm

          Search in the North end Jane north area and also Dixon City.

          I posted links here but apparently you are not allowed to do that.

          Search on realtor.ca

        2. Ace Goodheart

          at 10:46 pm

          4645 Jane street. A number of units for sale, from prices ranging from $209,800 to $245,800.00

          Jane and Steeles.

          1 and 2 bedroom units, all with parking.

          Many have been on the market for months.

          There is no housing crisis.

          The crisis is that a bunch of young folks want to live in million dollar neighbourhoods. And they can’t afford it. So it is a crisis.

          1. cyber

            at 11:17 pm

            This building is insurable by CMHC because of numerous issues. Many lenders will not even lend against units there. It has high maintenance fees due to deferred maintenance. Residents got hit by an average $30K special assessment in 2021 and there’s one right now or upcoming.

            People looking for affordable housing in that price range cannot afford the risk of getting hit with tens of thousands in surprise cash expenses.

          1. Vancouver Keith

            at 3:32 pm

            That’s amazing. The cheapest condos in Vancouver are leasehold buildings from the seventies – very few and far between. The least expensive I’ve seen would be $250,000 for a 600 square foot one bedroom.

            You really can’t find freehold for much less that $800 per square foot.

    3. Appraiser

      at 2:15 am

      In addition, mortgage rules have been tightened relentlessly for over a decade yet prices have continued to march ahead. Demand side policies haven’t worked but regulators keep doubling-down that they will. And we certainly won’t be able tax our way out of this housing crisis. What to do?

      Build Baby Build!

  7. Geoff

    at 5:43 pm

    Dear Satan, please keep Olivia Chow from becoming mayor. Soul being fedexed as we speak.

  8. Ace Goodheart

    at 5:16 pm

    So some trust fund kid in the UK inherited a job from his mother.

    Total inbred nepotism.

    And because of tradition, old men and lack of a pair in general, we now have a new head of state.

    Trying not to barf as the whole disgusting process plays out.

    I think Australia has it right on this one.

    Abolish the monarchy.

    This “King” is NOT the king of Canada

  9. cyber

    at 11:18 pm

    This building is uninsurable by CMHC because of numerous issues. Many lenders will not even lend against units there. It has high maintenance fees due to deferred maintenance. Residents got hit by an average $30K special assessment in 2021 and there’s one right now or upcoming.

    People looking for affordable housing in that price range cannot afford the risk of getting hit with tens of thousands in surprise cash expenses.

    1. Ace Goodheart

      at 9:46 pm

      Even if there is 100K in special assessments, that still means the two bed units are going for around $329,000.00

      Still a deal if you ask me.

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